Toronto FC will welcome New York Red Bulls to BMO Field in a crucial MLS Eastern Conference clash. With both sides needing results for different reasons, the stage is set for a tense encounter on Canadian soil.
Toronto FC Form and Team News
It has been a difficult campaign for Toronto FC, who sit 14th in the standings after 17 matches. With just three wins, four draws, and ten losses, they’ve only managed 18 goals while conceding 24. At home, the Reds have found it even tougher, winning just once in ten attempts.
Their most recent outing saw them fall 2-0 to Charlotte FC, a result that further exposed their struggles in both creativity and defensive stability. Federico Bernardeschi remains a key presence in the squad, while young talents like Deybi Aldair Flores and Tyrese Spicer have been among the more consistent performers based on recent match ratings.
However, with just five goals scored at home and a -7 goal difference at BMO Field, the home support will be hoping for a change in fortunes against a familiar opponent.
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls currently occupy 8th place after 18 matches, with a record of eight wins, three draws, and seven defeats. They have scored 29 goals—one of the better attacking tallies in the league—and conceded 21. That gives them a positive goal difference of +8.
Their last fixture ended in a 2-1 loss to Austin FC, but the Red Bulls remain a side capable of putting goals past any opponent. Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting leads their attack and is among the top scorers in the league with ten goals. Cameron Harper and Kyle Duncan have also delivered consistent performances, helping the team maintain balance across the pitch.
However, their away form is a concern. In nine road games this season, New York has won just one and lost six, scoring six goals while conceding thirteen.
Head-to-Head: Red Bulls Dominance
When it comes to this matchup, history favors the visitors. In the last five MLS meetings between these sides, New York Red Bulls have won four, including the most recent clash in March 2025, which ended 2-1 in their favor. Toronto FC’s only win in this run came several seasons ago.
Interestingly, none of the last nine head-to-head matches saw both teams scoring in both halves. In fact, Toronto has only managed to score in the first half once during this run.
Key Stats to Know
1. Toronto FC are one of the most disciplined teams in the league, receiving zero red cards across 34 matches.
2. In contrast, New York Red Bulls have collected 47 yellow cards—among the top three in the league—at an average of 1.4 per match.
3. Toronto has won the fewest corner kicks in the league this season, averaging only 1.6 per match.
4. Toronto has failed to win eight of its last nine matches against New York.
5. Toronto has also failed to win nine of their last ten home matches.
6. The New York Red Bulls have not won eight of their last nine away matches.
Attacking and Defensing Comparison
The New York Red Bulls have the edge in both attacking and defensive departments. Their 29 goals rank them in the top tier of attacking sides, while their defense—just 21 goals conceded—is also among the more solid units in the league.
Toronto, on the other hand, has struggled with only 18 goals scored. Their defense has allowed 24, placing them in the middle third for goals conceded.
Match Prediction
This match is shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled to find consistency, particularly in the final third. Toronto’s lack of attacking output at home and New York’s poor away record suggest this could be a cagey contest.
Score Prediction
A total of under 4.5 goals looks likely.
Over 2.5 goals could be possible if New York starts fast, but both teams scoring in both halves remains unlikely.
Final score prediction: **New York Red Bulls 2 – 1 Toronto FC
Final Thoughts
While Toronto FC will hope for a turnaround in front of their fans, New York Red Bulls’ superior attacking firepower and historical dominance give them the upper hand. However, with both teams showing flaws, particularly away from home and at home, respectively, this fixture remains open to surprises.
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